Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 25.281504 29.187747 33.407026 38.291967 43.780148 49.743755 56.702153
2025-02-02 20.319822 26.148534 33.029940 41.695161 52.251469 64.626672 80.158714
2025-02-09 16.238745 22.824098 31.172913 42.399717 56.948939 74.999563 98.896959
2025-02-16 13.214913 20.049050 29.257709 42.342220 60.184106 83.358040 115.370671
2025-02-23 10.890005 17.709016 27.414041 41.891142 62.524077 90.395630 130.306321
2025-03-02 9.150538 15.867098 25.917389 41.581734 64.801464 97.266520 145.228280
2025-03-09 7.765980 14.310724 24.575019 41.235239 66.833304 103.754033 159.841397
2025-03-16 6.215756 12.214148 22.095362 38.819207 65.471627 105.136786 167.095635
2025-03-23 5.635966 11.665140 21.995537 40.067804 69.704075 114.893155 187.007291
2025-03-30 5.215198 11.327644 22.187188 41.766863 74.714347 126.056096 209.563705
2025-04-06 4.460724 10.239185 20.936600 40.888641 75.440682 130.590135 222.183551
2025-04-13 3.688127 8.979508 19.210382 38.979400 74.245628 131.936004 229.806980
2025-04-20 3.511570 8.956341 19.847692 41.476841 80.949081 146.738790 260.157468
2025-04-27 3.458834 9.203679 21.054150 45.172905 90.088977 166.201094 299.283821
2025-05-04 3.103479 8.709925 20.726953 45.937770 94.067343 177.284669 325.304776
2025-05-11 2.720922 8.075969 20.021610 45.878072 96.507268 185.853069 347.542089
2025-05-18 2.358553 7.414522 19.160076 45.395065 98.079707 192.951323 367.582537
2025-05-25 2.057914 6.846182 18.418847 45.063545 99.879716 200.503389 388.719409
2025-06-01 1.795603 6.322356 17.701267 44.692196 101.543401 207.859914 409.820751
2025-06-08 1.445249 5.460427 16.052249 42.101933 98.547048 206.473242 415.289072
2025-06-15 1.345570 5.325796 16.161316 43.440761 103.633288 220.362633 448.851669
2025-06-22 1.276572 5.273205 16.470160 45.261964 109.836543 236.656862 487.483611
2025-06-29 1.095505 4.808254 15.638442 44.320698 110.119799 241.615024 505.411049